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    The Impact of Trade Conflict on Developing Asia

    Abiad, Abdul; Baris, Kristina; Bernabe, John Arvin; Bertulfo, Donald Jay; Shiela Camingue-Romance, Paul Neilmer Feliciano; Mariasingham, Mahinthan Joseph; Mercer-Blackman, Valerie | December 2018
    Abstract
    This working paper estimates the effects of tariffs on gross domestic product, exports, and employment across countries and sectors, using the Asian Development Bank’s Multiregional Input–Output Tables. The 2018 trade conflict between the United States and the People’s Republic of China presents a stumbling block to the global manufacturing and international trade that has driven growth and prosperity in Asia. Findings suggest that if all documented threats and retaliations were to be carried out, gross domestic product would fall by around 1% in the People’s Republic of China and by 0.2% in the United States over a period of 2–3 years.
    Citation
    Abiad, Abdul; Baris, Kristina; Bernabe, John Arvin; Bertulfo, Donald Jay; Shiela Camingue-Romance, Paul Neilmer Feliciano; Mariasingham, Mahinthan Joseph; Mercer-Blackman, Valerie. 2018. The Impact of Trade Conflict on Developing Asia. © Asian Development Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/11540/9454. License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.
    ISSN
    2313-6537 (print)
    2313-6545 (electronic)
    Keywords
    Free Trade
    Trade Facilitation
    Trade
    Economic integration
    Regional Economic Integration
    Intraregional Trade
    Macroeconomic
    Macroeconomic Analysis
    Macroeconomic Framework
    Macroeconomic Models
    Macroeconomic Performance
    Macroeconomic Planning
    Macroeconomic Policies
    Macroeconomic Reform
    Macroeconomic Stabilization
    Economic planning
    Economic structure
    Growth policy
    Trade relations
    Trade policy
    Trade policy
    Economic development
    Economies in transition
    International economy
    Border integration
    Economic integration
    Gross domestic product
    Trade policy
    Trade Regulations
    Exchange Rate
    Regional economics
    Economic forecasting
    Economic development projects
    Success in business
    Business
    Free trade
    Business
    Economics
    Communication in economic development
    Restraint of trade
    International economic integration
    Trade blocs
    East-West
    Show allCollapse
    Citable URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/11540/9454
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    Thumbnail
    ewp-566-impact-trade-conflict-asia.pdf (832.8Kb)
    Author
    Abiad, Abdul
    Baris, Kristina
    Bernabe, John Arvin
    Bertulfo, Donald Jay
    Shiela Camingue-Romance, Paul Neilmer Feliciano
    Mariasingham, Mahinthan Joseph
    Mercer-Blackman, Valerie
    Theme
    Trade
    Economics
     
    Copyright 2016-2020 Asian Development Bank Institute, except as explicitly marked otherwise
    Copyright 2016-2020 Asian Development Bank Institute, except as explicitly marked otherwise