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    Effects of the People’s Republic of China’s Structural Change on the Exports of East and Southeast Asian Economies

    Lee, Hyun-Hoon; Park, Donghyun; Shin, Kwanho | July 2016
    Abstract
    The Chinese economy is slowing down and, at the same time, it is in the midst of a structural transformation from an export- and investment-led economy to a domestic demand- and consumption-led growth paradigm. While there are widespread concerns in the People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) trading partners about the effect of the PRC’s growth slowdown on their exports, the PRC’s structural change is also likely to have a significant impact—e.g. the PRC will import fewer machines and more cosmetics. The central objective of our paper is to empirically examine the effect of the PRC’s structural transformation on the exports of East and Southeast Asian economies, which have close trade linkages with the PRC. We find that economies which failed to increase the share of consumption goods in their exports to the PRC suffered larger declines in their exports to the PRC. In addition, economies that suffered losses in their shares of the PRC’s parts and components imports suffered losses in their shares of the PRC’s total imports.
    Citation
    Lee, Hyun-Hoon; Park, Donghyun; Shin, Kwanho. 2016. Effects of the People’s Republic of China’s Structural Change on the Exports of East and Southeast Asian Economies. © Asian Development Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/11540/8823. License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.
    ISSN
    2313-6537 (Print)
    2313-6545 (e-ISSN)
    Keywords
    Free Trade
    Trade Facilitation
    Trade
    Economic integration
    Regional Economic Integration
    Intraregional Trade
    Macroeconomic
    Macroeconomic Analysis
    Macroeconomic Framework
    Macroeconomic Models
    Macroeconomic Performance
    Macroeconomic Planning
    Macroeconomic Policies
    Macroeconomic Reform
    Macroeconomic Stabilization
    Economic planning
    Economic structure
    Growth policy
    Trade relations
    Trade policy
    Trade policy
    Economic development
    Economies in transition
    International economy
    Border integration
    Economic integration
    Gross domestic product
    Trade policy
    Trade Regulations
    Exchange Rate
    Regional economics
    Economic forecasting
    Economic development projects
    Success in business
    Business
    Free trade
    Business
    Economics
    Communication in economic development
    Restraint of trade
    International economic integration
    Trade blocs
    East-West
    Show allCollapse
    Citable URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/11540/8823
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    Thumbnail
    ewp-492.pdf (1.663Mb)
    Author
    Lee, Hyun-Hoon
    Park, Donghyun
    Shin, Kwanho
    Theme
    Trade
    Economics

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    Copyright 2016-2021 Asian Development Bank Institute, except as explicitly marked otherwise