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    Growing Fiscal Deficit Presents a Major Risk for Vietnam

    Hiep, Le Hong | July 2016
    Abstract
    Vietnam’s fiscal position has deteriorated rapidly in recent years. For example, its budget deficit in 2015 increased 14 per cent to reach 256 trillion dongs (US$11.47 billion), equivalent to 6.1 per cent of its GDP (CafeF, 2016). The country’s increasingly precarious fiscal position has been identified by experts as an urgent matter that can generate potential risks for its long-term macro-economic stability (see, for example, Financial Times, 2016; VnExpress, 2015b). It also poses a considerable challenge for Vietnam’s new government in achieving socio-economic targets set by the recent twelfth congress of the Communist Party of Vietnam (CPV). If the fiscal imbalance persists or worsens, it will generate serious economic, political and strategic implications for Vietnam. Solving or mitigating the problem, however, will require not only sound economic policies but also political determination to embrace challenging reforms on the part of the CPV. This essay seeks to examine this particular problem and its implications. It provides first an overview of Vietnam’s worsening fiscal position and its underlying reasons, and then an analysis of the economic, political and strategic implications that can be expected in the coming years.
    Citation
    Hiep, Le Hong. 2016. Growing Fiscal Deficit Presents a Major Risk for Vietnam. © ISEAS Yusof Ishak Institute. http://hdl.handle.net/11540/6816.
    Keywords
    Taxation
    Public Accounting
    National Budget
    Municipal Bonds
    Local Government
    Local Taxes
    International Monetary Relations
    International Financial Market
    International Banking
    Central Banks
    Business Financing
    Capital Resources
    Budgetary Policy
    Capital Needs
    Corporate Divestiture
    Capital Instruments
    Pension Funds
    Insurance Companies
    Banks
    Portfolio Management
    Fiscal Administration
    Economics of Education
    Development Banks
    Scaling-Up And Evaluation
    Results-Based Monitoring And Evaluation
    Public Policy Evaluation
    Impact Evaluation
    Performance Evaluation
    Urban Development Finance
    Trade Finance
    Small Business Finance
    Rural Finance
    Roundtable on International Trade and Finance
    Regional Development Finance
    Public Service Finance
    Public Finance
    Project Finance
    Private Finance
    Nonbank Financing
    Non-Bank Financial Institutions
    Municipal Finance
    Local Government Finance
    Local Currency Financing
    Limited Resource Financing
    International Financial Institutions
    Infrastructure Financing
    Industrial Finance
    Government Financial Institutions
    Government Finance
    Financing of Infrastructure
    Financial Sector Development
    Financial Regulation
    Economic evaluation
    Ecomnomic Forcast
    Resources evaluation
    Input output analysis
    Cost benefit analysis
    Use tax
    Taxing power
    State of taxation
    Tax-sales
    Tax revenue estimating
    Tax planning
    Spendings tax
    Special assessments
    Tax administration and procedure
    Sales tax
    Real property and taxation
    Progressive taxation
    Effect of taxation on land use
    Effect of taxation on labor supply
    Intergovernmental tax relations
    Inheritance and transfer tax
    Energy tax
    Risk assessment
    Economic policy
    Economic forecasting
    Cost effectiveness
    Participatory monitoring and evaluation
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    Citable URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/11540/6816
    Metadata
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    ISEAS_Perspective_2016_40.pdf (652.5Kb)
    Author
    Hiep, Le Hong
    Theme
    Finance
    Evaluation
     
    Copyright 2016-2020 Asian Development Bank Institute, except as explicitly marked otherwise
    Copyright 2016-2020 Asian Development Bank Institute, except as explicitly marked otherwise