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    Coal Requirement in 2020: A Bottom-up Analysis

    Sehgal, Anurag; Tongia, Rahul | June 2016
    Abstract
    In this report, we aim to examine the demand for coal in India in 2020 (using FY’14-15 as a base year), focusing on domestic coal production. Coal is predominantly used in power production, and hence answering this question requires a deep dive into (1) Demand for power; (2) Alternatives for power generation, especially Renewable Energy (RE), which has ambitious growth targets in the short term; and (3) ability to produce coal-based power (looking at virtually all the power plants under construction/planned, examining their location, technology, status of clearances, etc.) Clearly, this is not an easy exercise. First of all, there are inter-relationships between variables, and hence the holistic look at this topic (one cannot do simple extrapolations only). Second, there is enormous uncertainty, even in just a few years (forget a more complex exercise such as modelling for 2030, the year for the carbon commitments for Paris COP21, through India’s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC)). Therefore, we apply not just wide sensitivity analysis, but also have released the model3 used, so that analysts/scholars/decision-makers can modify key assumptions to visualise its impacts.
    Citation
    Sehgal, Anurag; Tongia, Rahul. 2016. Coal Requirement in 2020: A Bottom-up Analysis. © Brookings India. http://hdl.handle.net/11540/6677.
    Keywords
    Rural planning
    Aid coordination
    Industrial projects
    Infrastructure projects
    Natural resources policy
    Educational development
    Development policy
    Energy Demand
    Alternative energy program
    Domestic Energy
    Energy
    Energy Demand
    Energy Sources
    ADB
    Alternative Energy Development
    Asian Development Bank
    Development
    Development Cooperation
    Rural Development Projects
    Energy Development Finance
    Renewable Energy
    Energy
    Communication in rural development
    Communication in community development
    Economic development projects
    Development banks
    Economic forecasting
    Environmental auditing
    Cumulative effects assessment
    Human rights and globalization
    Rural manpower policy
    Biogas
    Biomass chemical
    Biomass gassification
    Biomass energy
    Demand
    Energy Security
    Renewable Energy Source
    Supply and Demand
    Technology
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    Citable URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/11540/6677
    Metadata
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    Thumbnail
    Coal-Requirement.pdf (1.537Mb)
    Author
    Sehgal, Anurag
    Tongia, Rahul
    Theme
    Development
    Energy
     
    Copyright 2016-2021 Asian Development Bank Institute, except as explicitly marked otherwise
    Copyright 2016-2021 Asian Development Bank Institute, except as explicitly marked otherwise