Coal Requirement in 2020: A Bottom-up Analysis
Sehgal, Anurag; Tongia, Rahul | June 2016
Abstract
In this report, we aim to examine the demand for coal in India in 2020 (using FY’14-15 as a base year), focusing on domestic coal production. Coal is predominantly used in power production, and hence answering this question requires a deep dive into (1) Demand for power; (2) Alternatives for power generation, especially Renewable Energy (RE), which has ambitious growth targets in the short term; and (3) ability to produce coal-based power (looking at virtually all the power plants under construction/planned, examining their location, technology, status of clearances, etc.) Clearly, this is not an easy exercise. First of all, there are inter-relationships between variables, and hence the holistic look at this topic (one cannot do simple extrapolations only). Second, there is enormous uncertainty, even in just a few years (forget a more complex exercise such as modelling for 2030, the year for the carbon commitments for Paris COP21, through India’s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC)). Therefore, we apply not just wide sensitivity analysis, but also have released the model3 used, so that analysts/scholars/decision-makers can modify key assumptions to visualise its impacts.
Citation
Sehgal, Anurag; Tongia, Rahul. 2016. Coal Requirement in 2020: A Bottom-up Analysis. © Brookings India. http://hdl.handle.net/11540/6677.Keywords
Rural planning
Aid coordination
Industrial projects
Infrastructure projects
Natural resources policy
Educational development
Development policy
Energy Demand
Alternative energy program
Domestic Energy
Energy
Energy Demand
Energy Sources
ADB
Alternative Energy Development
Asian Development Bank
Development
Development Cooperation
Rural Development Projects
Energy Development Finance
Renewable Energy
Energy
Communication in rural development
Communication in community development
Economic development projects
Development banks
Economic forecasting
Environmental auditing
Cumulative effects assessment
Human rights and globalization
Rural manpower policy
Biogas
Biomass chemical
Biomass gassification
Biomass energy
Demand
Energy Security
Renewable Energy Source
Supply and Demand
Technology
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