Saving, Investment, and Current Account Surplus in Developing Asia
Park, Donghyun; Shin, Kwanho | April 2009
Abstract
An integral part of global current account imbalances is the large and persistent current account surplus developing Asia has run since the 1997–1998 Asian crisis. A country’s current account surplus is, by definition, equal to its net saving. The central objective of this paper is to investigate the extent to which the saving and investment rate of Asian countries can be explained by the underlying fundamental determinants of saving and investment such as gross domestic product growth and demographic factors. Our empirical analysis yields two key findings. First, we find stronger evidence of oversaving than underinvestment in the region. Second, we find stronger evidence of overinvestment prior to the Asian crisis than underinvestment after the Asian crisis. This suggests that the key to rebalancing Asian growth toward domestic sources lies in promoting consumption rather than investment.
Citation
Park, Donghyun; Shin, Kwanho. 2009. Saving, Investment, and Current Account Surplus in Developing Asia. © Asian Development Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/11540/1803. License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.ISSN
1655-5252
Keywords
Development
Finance
Development Challenges
Development Issues
Development Problems
Microenterprises Finance
Commercial Finance Companies
Enterprise Financing
Financial Analysis
Banking Finance And Investment
ADB
Project finance
Development plans
Strategic planning
Business Financing
Investment Requirements
Insurance Companies
International Monetary Relations
International Financial Market
Exchange Rate
Insurers
Insurance stocks
Insurance holding companies
Insurance carriers
Insurance agencies
Business subsidies
Investment companies
International banks and banking
Stock exchanges
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