Seasonal Pattern and Effects of shocks on Outbound Tourism from the People's Republic of China: The Case of Thailand, Journal of GMS Development Studies, Vol. 6, pp. 55–69
Untong, Akarapong; Ramos, Vicente; Rey-Maquieira, Javier; Kaosa-ard, Mingsarn | October 2014
Abstract
This paper uses the case of Thailand, the first country to obtain approved destination status, to analyze two issues related to outbound tourism from the People’s Republic of China (PRC). The first objective is to measure and understand the seasonal behavior of PRC tourist arrivals to Thailand during 1985–2009. The study applies the X12-ARIMA method and the Gini coefficient to the analysis of seasonality. The results show that the PRC market had a higher degree of seasonal concentration than the other main nationalities of Thailand’s tourism. The second research issue is the measurement of the effects of major unexpected events that affected the tourism industry in Asia during 2000–2009. The results show that epidemic outbreaks had the greatest impact, followed by domestic turmoil and the 2005 tsunami.
Citation
Untong, Akarapong; Ramos, Vicente; Rey-Maquieira, Javier; Kaosa-ard, Mingsarn. 2014. Seasonal Pattern and Effects of shocks on Outbound Tourism from the People's Republic of China: The Case of Thailand, Journal of GMS Development Studies, Vol. 6, pp. 55–69. © Asian Development Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/11540/1728. License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.Citable URI
http://hdl.handle.net/11540/1728Metadata
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