Causes of the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis: What Can an Early Warning System Model Tell Us?
dc.contributor.author | Juzhong Zhuang | |
dc.contributor.author | Malcolm Dowling | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2015-01-24T13:13:50Z | |
dc.date.available | 2015-01-24T13:13:50Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2002-06-01 | |
dc.identifier.issn | 1655-5260 | |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/11540/1476 | |
dc.description.abstract | This brief summarizes major findings of an empirical study that attempts to test the two hypotheses to determine what actually happened in Asia in 1997 using an early warning system (EWS) model (Zhuang and Dowling 2002). EWS models are useful in discriminating between the two hypotheses because they establish 'crisis-triggering' threshold values for economic and financial indicators using historical data. Strong warning signals of a heightened probability of a financial crisis prior to the 1997 crisis from such models would suggest that there are good reasons to believe the crisis was caused more by weak fundamentals than by investor panic. | |
dc.language | English | |
dc.publisher | Asian Development Bank | |
dc.rights | CC BY 3.0 IGO | |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo | |
dc.title | Causes of the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis: What Can an Early Warning System Model Tell Us? | |
dc.type | Briefs | |
dc.subject.expert | Project Evaluation & Review Technique | |
dc.subject.expert | Evaluation Strategies | |
dc.subject.expert | Evaluation Criteria | |
dc.subject.expert | Impact Evaluation | |
dc.subject.expert | Risk Financing | |
dc.subject.expert | Infrastructure Financing | |
dc.subject.expert | Financial Risk Management | |
dc.subject.expert | Financial Crisis | |
dc.subject.adb | Environmental impact assessment | |
dc.subject.adb | Needs assessment | |
dc.subject.adb | Cost benefit analysis | |
dc.subject.adb | Capital Needs | |
dc.subject.adb | Insurance Companies | |
dc.subject.adb | Financial Emergency | |
dc.subject.adb | Project Risks | |
dc.subject.adb | Development Banks | |
dc.subject.natural | Ecological risk assessment | |
dc.subject.natural | Environmental impact statements | |
dc.subject.natural | Cumulative effects assessment | |
dc.subject.natural | Environmental impact analysis | |
dc.subject.natural | Risk assessment | |
dc.subject.natural | Country finance | |
dc.subject.natural | Catastrophe bonds | |
dc.subject.natural | Insurers | |
dc.title.series | ERD Policy Briefs | |
dc.title.volume | No 7 | |
dc.contributor.imprint | Asian Development Bank | |
oar.theme | Evaluation | |
oar.theme | Finance | |
oar.adminregion | Asia and the Pacific Region | |
oar.country | Bangladesh | |
oar.country | Bhutan | |
oar.country | India | |
oar.country | Maldives | |
oar.country | Nepal | |
oar.country | Sri Lanka | |
oar.country | Brunei Darussalam | |
oar.country | Brunei Darussalam | |
oar.country | Cambodia | |
oar.country | Indonesia | |
oar.country | Lao People's Democratic Republic | |
oar.country | Malaysia | |
oar.country | Myanmar | |
oar.country | Philippines | |
oar.country | Singapore | |
oar.country | Thailand | |
oar.country | Viet Nam | |
oar.country | Cook Islands | |
oar.country | Fiji | |
oar.country | Kiribati | |
oar.country | Marshall Islands | |
oar.country | Micronesia, Federated States of | |
oar.country | Nauru | |
oar.country | Palau | |
oar.country | Papua New Guinea | |
oar.country | Samoa | |
oar.country | Solomon Islands | |
oar.country | Timor-Leste | |
oar.country | Tonga | |
oar.country | Tuvalu | |
oar.country | Vanuatu | |
oar.country | Afghanistan | |
oar.country | Armenia | |
oar.country | Azerbaijan | |
oar.country | Georgia | |
oar.country | Kazakhstan | |
oar.country | Kyrgyz Republic | |
oar.country | Pakistan | |
oar.country | Tajikistan | |
oar.country | Turkmenistan | |
oar.country | Uzbekistan | |
oar.country | China, People’s Republic of | |
oar.country | Hong Kong, China | |
oar.country | China, People’s Republic of | |
oar.country | Republic of Korea | |
oar.country | Mongolia | |
oar.country | Taipei,China | |
oar.identifier | OAR-001877 | |
oar.author | Zhuang, Juzhong | |
oar.author | Dowling, Malcolm | |
oar.import | true | |
oar.googlescholar.linkpresent | true |
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Project, Partnership, Policy and Sector Briefs
The Asian Development Bank publishes various briefs about its projects, partnerships, and policies in different sectors in different countries. The aim of these briefs is to inform readers about developments, thematic and sector research, economic reports, partnership updates, or policy and strategy issues in a quick-disseminating format.