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    Financial Market and Capital Flow Dynamics During the Covid-19 Pandemic

    Beirne, John; Renzhi, Nuobu; Sugandi, Eric; Volz, Ulrich | June 2020
    Abstract
    This paper empirically examines the reaction of global financial markets across 38 economies to the COVID-19 outbreak, with a special focus on the dynamics of capital flow across 14 emerging market economies. Using daily data over the period 4 January 2010 to 30 April 2020 and controlling for a host of domestic and global macroeconomic and financial factors, we use a fixed effects panel approach and a structural VAR framework to show that emerging markets have been more heavily affected than advanced economies. In particular, emerging economies in Asia and Europe have experienced the sharpest impact on stocks, bonds, and exchange rates due to COVID-19, as well as abrupt and substantial capital outflows. Our results indicate that fiscal stimulus packages introduced in response to COVID-19, as well as quantitative easing by central banks, have helped to restore overall investor confidence through reducing bond yields and boosting stock prices. Our findings also highlight the role that global factors and developments in the world’s leading financial centers have on financial conditions in EMEs. Importantly, the impact of COVID-19 related quantitative easing measures by central banks in advanced countries, which helped to lower sovereign bond yields and prop up stock markets at home, extended to EMEs, notably in relation to stabilizing capital flow dynamics. Going forward, while the ultimate resolution of COVID-19 may be expected to lead to a market correction as uncertainty declines, our impulse response analysis suggests that there may be some permanent effects on financial markets and capital flows as a result of COVID-19, particularly in EMEs.
    Citation
    Beirne, John; Renzhi, Nuobu; Sugandi, Eric; Volz, Ulrich. 2020. Financial Market and Capital Flow Dynamics During the Covid-19 Pandemic. © Asian Development Bank Institute. http://hdl.handle.net/11540/12222.
    Keywords
    Regional Development Finance
    Public Scrutiny of City Finances
    Non-Bank Financial Institutions
    Local Government Finance
    Government Financial Institutions
    Foreign and Domestic Financing
    Financial Risk Management
    Assessing Corporate Governance
    Good Governance
    Governance Approach
    Finance
    Public Finance
    Governance
    National Budget
    Budgetary Policy
    Educational Budget
    Public Financial Management
    Financial System
    Financial Statistics
    Business Financing
    Subsidies
    Social Equity
    Economic Equity
    Project Risks
    Project Impact
    Public Administration
    Corporations
    Taxation
    Public Debt
    Local Government
    Debt Management
    Corporate debt
    Taxation
    Public Accounting
    National Budget
    Municipal Bonds
    Local Government
    Taxation
    Public Debt
    Local Government
    Debt Management
    Pension Funds
    Mutual Funds
    Social Equity
    Financial Aspects
    Fiscal Policy
    Financial crisis
    Labor economics
    Regional economics
    Business recessions
    Multilateral development banks
    Regulatory reform
    Capital
    Exports
    Economic development projects
    Economic policy
    Economic forecasting
    Investment Requirements
    Banks
    International banks and banking
    Capital movements
    Central banks and banking
    Bills of exchange
    Swaps
    Banks and banking
    Financial crisis
    Credit control
    Credit allocation
    Capital market
    International liquidity
    Liquidity
    Exchange rate
    Investment Requirements
    Banks
    |Taxing power
    Tax administration and procedure
    Tax policy
    Effect of taxation on labor supply
    Decentralization in government
    Community power
    Corporate divestment
    Civil government
    Delegation of powers
    Equality
    Neighborhood government
    Subnational governments
    Delivery of government services
    Local taxation
    Options
    Government
    Local government
    Taxation
    Employee pension trusts
    Investment management
    Investments
    Multiemployer pension plans
    Keogh plans
    Individual retirement accounts
    Pension plans
    Employee pension trusts
    Pension trusts
    Show allCollapse
    Citable URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/11540/12222
    Metadata
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    Author
    Beirne, John
    Renzhi, Nuobu
    Sugandi, Eric
    Volz, Ulrich
    Theme
    Finance
    Governance
     
    Copyright 2016-2021 Asian Development Bank Institute, except as explicitly marked otherwise
    Copyright 2016-2021 Asian Development Bank Institute, except as explicitly marked otherwise