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Agriculture and Food Security in Asia by 2030

dc.contributor.authorKym Anderson
dc.contributor.authorAnna Strutt
dc.date.accessioned2015-01-24T13:12:13Z
dc.date.available2015-01-24T13:12:13Z
dc.date.issued2012-07-06
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11540/1131
dc.description.abstractRapid trade-led economic growth in emerging Asia has been shifting the global economic and industrial centres of gravity away from the north Atlantic, raising the importance of Asia in world trade but also altering the commodity composition of trade by Asia and other regions. What began with Japan in the 1950s and the Republic of Korea and Taipei,China from the late 1960s has spread to the much more populous ASEAN region, the People’s Republic of China, and India. This paper examines how that growth and associated structural changes are altering agricultural markets in particular and thereby food security. It does so retrospectively and by projecting a model of the world economy that compares alternative growth strategies, trade policy scenarios and savings behaviors to 2030. Projected impacts on sectoral shares of gross domestic product (GDP), “openness” to trade and the composition and direction of trade are drawn out, followed by effects of the boom in non-farm sectors on agricultural self-sufficiency and real food consumption per capita in Asia and elsewhere. The paper concludes by drawing implications for policies that can address more efficiently Asia’s concerns about food security and rural-urban income disparity than the trade policy measures used by earlier-industrializing Northeast Asia.
dc.languageEnglish
dc.publisherAsian Development Bank Institute
dc.rightsCC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo/
dc.titleAgriculture and Food Security in Asia by 2030
dc.typeWorking Papers
dc.subject.expertTrade Facilitation
dc.subject.expertTrade
dc.subject.expertEconomic integration
dc.subject.expertRegional Economic Integration
dc.subject.expertFree Trade
dc.subject.expertTrade Agreements
dc.subject.expertTrade Policy
dc.subject.expertEconomic Development
dc.subject.expertEconomics
dc.subject.expertInternational Economics
dc.subject.adbEconomic planning
dc.subject.adbEconomic structure
dc.subject.adbGrowth policy
dc.subject.adbTrade relations
dc.subject.adbTrade policy
dc.subject.adbTrade policy
dc.subject.adbEconomic development
dc.subject.naturalRegional economics
dc.subject.naturalEconomic forecasting
dc.subject.naturalEconomic development projects
dc.subject.naturalSuccess in business
dc.subject.naturalBusiness
dc.subject.naturalFree trade
dc.subject.naturalBusiness
dc.subject.naturalEconomics
dc.title.seriesADBI Working Paper Series
dc.title.volumeNo. 368
dc.contributor.imprintAsian Development Bank Institute
oar.themeTrade
oar.themeEconomics
oar.themeLabor Migration
oar.adminregionAsia and the Pacific Region
oar.countryBangladesh
oar.countryBhutan
oar.countryIndia
oar.countryMaldives
oar.countryNepal
oar.countrySri Lanka
oar.countryBrunei Darussalam
oar.countryCambodia
oar.countryIndonesia
oar.countryLao People's Democratic Republic
oar.countryMalaysia
oar.countryMyanmar
oar.countryPhilippines
oar.countrySingapore
oar.countryThailand
oar.countryViet Nam
oar.countryCook Islands
oar.countryFiji
oar.countryKiribati
oar.countryMarshall Islands
oar.countryMicronesia, Federated States of
oar.countryNauru
oar.countryPalau
oar.countryPapua New Guinea
oar.countrySamoa
oar.countrySolomon Islands
oar.countryTimor-Leste
oar.countryTonga
oar.countryTuvalu
oar.countryVanuatu
oar.countryAfghanistan
oar.countryArmenia
oar.countryAzerbaijan
oar.countryGeorgia
oar.countryKazakhstan
oar.countryKyrgyz Republic
oar.countryPakistan
oar.countryTajikistan
oar.countryTurkmenistan
oar.countryUzbekistan
oar.countryChina, People’s Republic of
oar.countryHong Kong, China
oar.countryChina, People’s Republic of
oar.countryRepublic of Korea
oar.countryMongolia
oar.countryTaipei,China
oar.dep.sourceADBI
oar.identifierOAR-002313
oar.authorAnderson, Kym
oar.authorStrutt, Anna
oar.importtrue
oar.googlescholar.linkpresenttrue


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  • ADBI Working Papers
    The Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI) Working Paper series is a continuation of the formerly named Discussion Paper series which began in January 2003. The numbering of the papers continued without interruption or change. ADBI was established in 1997 in Tokyo, Japan, to help build capacity, skills, and knowledge related to poverty reduction and other areas that support long-term growth and competitiveness in developing economies in Asia and the Pacific.

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