The Vietnam-US-China Triangle: New Dynamics and Implications
Hiep, Le Hong | August 2015
Abstract
This paper seeks to analyze the new dynamics in this triangular relationship and their implications. By adopting a three-level analysis approach, it will examine three of the most important factors at the systemic, national and sub-national levels which currently shape the relationship from a Vietnamese perspective. These factors are the increasing strategic competition between the US and China, the level of strategic trust between Vietnam and the two powers, and Vietnam’s domestic political and economic developments.
The paper is divided into four sections. The first three analyze the mentioned dynamics, while the final section discusses possible implications for the region. The paper argues that new dynamics in the triangle are conducive to the improvement of Vietnam-US relations while unfavourable for Ha Noi’s ties with Beijing. Vietnam’s relations with the US will therefore improve significantly, while its relations with China will suffer significant setbacks. However, these trends may still be constrained by traditional factors shaping Vietnam’s foreign policy, such as ideological considerations and Vietnam’s wish to maintain a balance between the two great powers.
Citation
Hiep, Le Hong. 2015. The Vietnam-US-China Triangle: New Dynamics and Implications. © ISEAS Yusof Ishak Institute. http://hdl.handle.net/11540/10998.ISSN
2335-6677
Keywords
Governance
Good Governance
Governance Approach
Governance Capacity
Governance Models
Governance Quality
Regional Policy
Regional Perspectives
Regional Government
Regional Development
Regional Cooperation
Interregional Cooperation
Business Management
Institutional
Framework
Business Ethics
Regional Plans
Project finance
Development Bank
Common Markets
Bureaucracy
Cabinet system
Common good
Executive power
Government
Separation of powers
Transparency in government
Regional economics
Community development
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