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    The Employment Effects of Technological Innovation, Consumption, and Participation in Global Value Chains: Evidence from Developing Asia

    Bertulfo, Donald Jay; Gentile, Elisabetta; Vries, Gaaitzen J. de | February 2019
    Abstract
    Global value chains (GVCs) have been a vehicle for job creation in developing Asia, but there is mounting concern that more sophisticated and cost-effective technology could displace workers through automation or reshoring of production. We use the demand-based input–output approach in Reijnders and de Vries (2018) to examine how employment responded to consumption, trade, and technological advances in 12 economies that accounted for 90% of employment in developing Asia during the period 2005–2015. Structural decomposition analysis based on the Asian Development Bank Multiregional Input–Output Tables combined with harmonized cross-country occupation data indicates that, other things being equal, technological change within GVCs was associated with a decrease in labor demand across all sectors, and an increase in the share of nonroutine cognitive occupations. We also find that increased domestic consumption expenditures of goods and services generated an increase in labor demand large enough to offset the negative employment impact of technological change. Finally, we do not find evidence of major shifts in occupational labor demand due to reshoring.
    Citation
    Bertulfo, Donald Jay; Gentile, Elisabetta; Vries, Gaaitzen J. de. 2019. The Employment Effects of Technological Innovation, Consumption, and Participation in Global Value Chains: Evidence from Developing Asia. © Asian Development Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/11540/9735. License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.
    ISSN
    2313-6537(print)
    2313-6545(electronic)
    Keywords
    Comprehensive Development Framework
    Development Challenges
    Development Planning
    Millennium Development Goals
    Policy Development
    Program Evaluation
    Performance Evaluation
    Evaluation Criteria
    Human Capital Development
    Capital Market Development
    Development Economics
    Financial Sector Development
    Technology Development
    World Development Indicators
    Evaluation Methods
    Aid And Development
    Asian Development Bank
    Comprehensive Development Framework
    Development Cooperation
    Development Management
    Development Planning
    Development Strategies
    Development In East Asia
    Development Planning
    Development Research
    Performance Evaluation
    Evaluation Methods
    Evaluation
    Job Evaluation
    Staff Development
    Development assistance
    ADB
    Curriculum development
    Development assistance
    Development aid
    Development indicators
    Development potential
    Development models
    Project appraisal
    Performance appraisal
    Economic development
    Economic indicators
    Government programs
    Economic growth
    Economic policy
    Industrial development
    Industrial policy
    Technology assessment
    Economic evaluation
    Economic forecast
    Input output analysis
    Rural planning
    Aid coordination
    Industrial projects
    Infrastructure projects
    Natural resources policy
    Educational development
    Development strategy
    Development models
    Economic development
    Performance appraisal
    Needs assessment
    Input output analysis
    ADB
    Employment
    Performance appraisal
    Project failure
    Project impact
    Project appraisal
    Career development
    Vocational training
    Communication in rural development
    Communication in community development
    Infrastructure
    Central planning
    Endowment of research
    Partnership
    Joint venture
    Nation-building
    Risk assessment
    Economic development projects
    Economic forecasting
    Industrial research
    Participatory monitoring and evaluation
    Economic policy
    Economic forecasting
    Communication in rural development
    Communication in community development
    Economic development projects
    Development banks
    Economic forecasting
    Environmental auditing
    Cumulative effects assessment
    Human rights and globalization
    Participative management
    Grievance procedures
    Supervisors
    Vocational guidance
    Labor policy
    Rural manpower policy
    Career development
    Applications for positions
    Affirmative action programs
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    Citable URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/11540/9735
    Metadata
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    ewp-572-employment-technological-innovation-gvcs-asia.pdf (445.2Kb)
    Author
    Bertulfo, Donald Jay
    Gentile, Elisabetta
    Vries, Gaaitzen J. de
    Theme
    Development
    Evaluation
    Labor Migration
     
    Copyright 2016-2021 Asian Development Bank Institute, except as explicitly marked otherwise
    Copyright 2016-2021 Asian Development Bank Institute, except as explicitly marked otherwise