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    The Future of Indian Electricity Demand: How much, by whom, and under what conditions?

    Ali, Sahil | October 2018
    Abstract
    As of 2017, 73 percent of electricity generation in India was based on coal (Central Electricity Authority, 2017). The electricity sector (grid and captive generation) consumes over 80 percent of the domestic coal off-take in India (Ministry of Coal, 2017). Due to its capital intensive and public good nature, electricity supply in India is highly regulated, where policies and plans are focused around creating adequate supply capacity and reserves, to generate, sell and purchase power. Coal demand for electricity depends on the overall level of electricity demand, its nature (who is demanding, at what location and what time in the day) and the availability and preference ordering of other sources of supply. Aside from the more immediate issues of supply planning, electricity demand modelling directly feeds into concerns around access, energy security and environmental sustainability. Electricity demand, as is elaborated later, depends on a number of variables, some with deep uncertainty into the future. For example, India’s GDP growth projections till 2030 vary from around 7-8 percent projected by governmental sources and IMF, to 5.5-6.5 percent as projected by certain banks, development organisations, and research institutions (Uehara, Masashi; Tahara, Kengo; et al, 2017; Ministry of Environment, Forests and Climate Change, GoI, 2015). These have profoundly different implications in terms of levels and composition of economic activity and associated energy intensities (Uehara, Masashi; Tahara, Kengo; et al, 2017; Ministry of Environment, Forests and Climate Change, GoI, 2015). It then becomes necessary to understand plausible and marginal yet possible scenarios of electricity demand to plan for the future electricity grid accordingly.
    Citation
    Ali, Sahil. 2018. The Future of Indian Electricity Demand: How much, by whom, and under what conditions?. © Brookings India. http://hdl.handle.net/11540/9685.
    Keywords
    Alternative Energy Development
    Asian Development Bank
    Development
    Development Cooperation
    Rural Development Projects
    Energy Development Finance
    Renewable Energy
    Energy
    Rural planning
    Aid coordination
    Industrial projects
    Infrastructure projects
    Natural resources policy
    Educational development
    Development policy
    Energy Demand
    Alternative energy program
    Domestic Energy
    Energy
    Energy Demand
    Energy Sources
    ADB
    Communication in rural development
    Communication in community development
    Economic development projects
    Development banks
    Economic forecasting
    Environmental auditing
    Cumulative effects assessment
    Human rights and globalization
    Rural manpower policy
    Biogas
    Biomass chemical
    Biomass gasification
    Biomass energy
    Demand
    Energy Security
    Renewable Energy Source
    Supply and Demand
    Technology
    Solar energy policy
    Development banks
    Infrastructure
    Joint venture
    Energy policy
    Renewable energy source
    Solar energy
    Energy development
    Technology
    Sun
    Energy resource
    Water power
    Hydrology
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    Citable URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/11540/9685
    Metadata
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    The-future-of-Indian-electricity-demand.pdf (2.283Mb)
    Author
    Ali, Sahil
    Theme
    Development
    Energy
    Labor Migration
     
    Copyright 2016-2021 Asian Development Bank Institute, except as explicitly marked otherwise
    Copyright 2016-2021 Asian Development Bank Institute, except as explicitly marked otherwise