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    The macroeconomic impacts of the One Plan’s intensive land use provisions

    Morel, Laëtitia Leroy de | July 2018
    Abstract
    NZIER was asked by the Horizons Regional Council to estimate the regional macroeconomic impacts on farmers and commercial vegetable growers of meeting the nitrogen loss targets in Table 14.2 of the One Plan in three local economies: horticulture in the Horowhenua district, dairy farmers in the Tararua and Rangitikei 4 districts. Horizons Regional Council wants to understand how these estimated on-farm/on-orchard costs might affect the wider territorial authority economies, the Horizons economy and the New Zealand economy. In this report, we examine the indirect or flow-on effects for supplying industries (e.g. agricultural services, fertiliser production, transport, etc.) and downstream industries (primary processing, retail, construction, etc.). Our modelling also considers how resources (especially labour and capital) shift between the primary sector and other industries (manufacturing, services, etc.) as the dairy and horticulture industries becomes less competitive and profitable in the face of higher costs to meet nitrogen loss targets. Using these direct and indirect effects, we determined the flow-on effects throughout the wider Horizons economy and the national economy on GDP, employment, wages, and household spending. This gives us the macroeconomic impacts that you are interested in for your review.
    Citation
    Morel, Laëtitia Leroy de. 2018. The macroeconomic impacts of the One Plan’s intensive land use provisions. © New Zealand Institute of Economic Research. http://hdl.handle.net/11540/9525.
    Keywords
    Agricultural education
    Agricultural information
    Agricultural statistics
    Sustainable agriculture
    Commercial agriculture
    Agricultural And Rural Development
    Asian Development Bank
    Water Resources Development
    Sustainable Development
    Development Economics
    Regional Economic Development
    Economic Impact
    Asian Development Bank
    Development
    Macroeconomic
    Macroeconomic Analysis
    Macroeconomic Framework
    Macroeconomic Models
    Macroeconomic Performance
    Macroeconomic Planning
    Macroeconomic Policies
    Macroeconomic Reform
    Macroeconomic Stabilization
    Agricultural education
    Sustainable development
    Environmental management
    Agricultural investment
    Agribusiness
    Agroindustry
    Agricultural institutes
    Agricultural development
    distribution
    Joint projects
    Development models
    Industrial policy
    Education
    Social Development
    Economies in transition
    Economic agreements
    Development indicators
    ADB
    Economic development
    Gross domestic product
    Employment
    Economic forecast
    Economic indicators
    Growth models
    Gross domestic product
    Macroeconomics
    Economic forecast
    Social condition
    Economic dependence
    Economic assistance
    Technology assessment
    Economic development
    New agricultural enterprises
    Cooperative agriculture
    Government policy
    Entrepreneurship
    Food Supply
    Food Security
    Organic dairy farming
    Organic floriculture
    Organic viticulture
    Produce trade
    Crop
    Organic gardening
    Economic development
    New agricultural enterprises
    Cooperative agriculture
    Government policy
    Entrepreneurship
    Rural land use
    Land use
    Natural resource
    Water supply
    Mill
    Irrigation systems
    Comparative economics
    Regional economics
    Economic development projects
    Open price system
    Price fixing
    Price regulation
    Consumer price indexes
    Financial crisis
    Labor economics
    Regional economics
    Turnover
    Economic survey
    Income Distribution
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    Citable URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/11540/9525
    Metadata
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    horizons-one-plan-lu-eia-final-report-24-july-2018_.pdf (913.3Kb)
    Author
    Morel, Laëtitia Leroy de
    Theme
    Agriculture
    Economics
     
    Copyright 2016-2021 Asian Development Bank Institute, except as explicitly marked otherwise
    Copyright 2016-2021 Asian Development Bank Institute, except as explicitly marked otherwise