Deflation in Asia: Should the Dangers Be Dismissed?
Eichengreen, Barry; Park, Donghyun; Shin, Kwanho | July 2016
Abstract
Deflation has emerged as a new concern for Asian policy makers. The traditional view is that deflation can lead to a vicious cycle of falling demand and prices, and is thus a dangerous condition. However, another school of thought emphasizes the role of positive supply shocks and takes a more benign view of deflation. In a recent paper that examines the relationship between deflation and economic growth, using consumer prices time series, Borio et al. (2015) find some evidence that casts doubt on the traditional view. In this paper, we revisit the relationship and find some grounds for concern about the harmful effect of deflation on growth.
Citation
Eichengreen, Barry; Park, Donghyun; Shin, Kwanho. 2016. Deflation in Asia: Should the Dangers Be Dismissed?. © Asian Development Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/11540/8822. License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.ISSN
2313-6537 (Print)
2313-6545 (e-ISSN)
Keywords
Macroeconomic
Macroeconomic Analysis
Macroeconomic Framework
Macroeconomic Models
Macroeconomic Performance
Macroeconomic Planning
Macroeconomic Policies
Macroeconomic Reform
Macroeconomic Stabilization
Results-Based Monitoring And Evaluation
Project Evaluation & Review Technique
Project Evaluation
Program Evaluation
Performance Evaluation
Operations Evaluation
Evaluation Methods
Evaluation
Social condition
Economic dependence
Economic assistance
International monetary relations
International monetary relations
International trade
National accounting
Market
Project impact
Development projects
Program management
Performance appraisal
Project appraisal
Technology assessment
Economic indicators
Growth models
Gross domestic product
Macroeconomics
Economic forecast
Exports
Exchange
Comparative economics
Index number
Monetary policy
Value analysis
Adjustment cost
Transaction cost
Conditionality
International relations
Cumulative effects assessment
Grievance procedures
Participatory monitoring and evaluation
Exchange rate
Economic development projects
Economic policy
Economic forecasting
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