Carry Trades in Asia and the Pacific: Evidence on Unconventional Monetary Policies of Advanced Ecomomies
Chantapacpedong, Pornpinun; Ito, Hiroyuki; Hull, Kieran | December 2017
Abstract
Since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2008, the world economy has faced many challenges and changes, which led us to reassess the uncovered interest rate parity (UIP). We are particularly interested in whether and to what extent unconventional monetary policy (UMP) affects the UIP relationship for 11 currencies in Asia and the Pacific. When we run the Fama regression for the period of 2001 through 2016, we show that UIP does not hold, consistent with previous studies. We augment the original Fama regression with a set of variables that represent financial and macroeconomic conditions as well as unconventional monetary policies. We find that the unconventional monetary policies in advanced economies have a significant effect on the Fama beta. The QE in the US and QQE in Japan cause the Fama beta to be more negative, implying carry trade activities and “search for yield” behaviour. On the other hand, the negative interest rate policy (NIRP), especially in the Eurozone and Switzerland, seem to cause greater uncertainty and have a positive effect on the Fama beta.
Citation
Chantapacpedong, Pornpinun; Ito, Hiroyuki; Hull, Kieran. 2017. Carry Trades in Asia and the Pacific: Evidence on Unconventional Monetary Policies of Advanced Ecomomies. © Asian Development Bank Institute. http://hdl.handle.net/11540/7779.Keywords
Public Accounting
Business Financing
Subsidies
Social Equity
Economic Equity
Project Risks
Project Impact
Public Administration
Corporations
Taxation
Public Debt
Local Government
Debt Management
Taxation
Public Accounting
National Budget
Municipal Bonds
Local Government
Local Taxes
International Monetary Relations
International Financial Market
International Banking
Central Banks
Business Financing
Financial Aspects
Fiscal Policy
Regional Development Finance
Public Scrutiny of City Finances
Non-Bank Financial Institutions
Local Government Finance
Government Financial Institutions
Foreign and Domestic Financing
Financial Risk Management
Assessing Corporate Governance
Good Governance
Governance Approach
Urban Development Finance
Trade Finance
Small Business Finance
Rural Finance
Roundtable on International Trade and Finance
Regional Development Finance
Investment Requirements
Banks
|Taxing power
Tax administration and procedure
Tax policy
Effect of taxation on labor supply
Decentralization in government
Community power
Corporate divestment
Civil government
Delegation of powers
Equality
Neighborhood government
Subnational governments
Delivery of government services
Local taxation
Options
Government
Local government
Taxation
Grants
Loans
Use tax
Taxing power
State of taxation
Tax-sales
Tax revenue estimating
Tax planning
Spendings tax
Special assessments
Tax administration and procedure
Sales tax
Real property and taxation
Progressive taxation
Effect of taxation on land use
Effect of taxation on labor supply
Intergovernmental tax relations
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