Impact of the People's Republic of Chin's Slowdown on the Global Economy
Dinda, Soumyananda | October 2017
Abstract
Across the world, researchers and business analysts are closely watching the People’s Republic of China (PRC), especially its recent economic slowdown. The Asia and Pacific region is extremely anxious about the PRC’s slowdown, but the rest of the world has a definite reason to worry about the consequences of the slowdown in the world’s secondlargest economy. During the last few decades, the PRC has integrated strongly with Asia and also with the rest of the world. This paper investigates what the impact of the PRC’s slowdown on the global economy is. If there is a crisis in the PRC, how much does it affect developed and emerging or developing economies? Using a panel data model, this paper focuses on these issues. The study considers international linking variables for the period 2000–2012. Evidence based on panel data analysis for six developed countries (G6: the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Japan, Canada, and Australia) and four BRICS countries (G4: Brazil, Russian Federation, India, and South Africa) shows that the impact of the PRC’s slowdown is greater on emerging BRICS nations than on developed economies. The impact of the PRC’s GDP growth shock on the rest of emerging Asia is greater since it has a strong production network in East and Southeast Asia. So, the PRC’s slowdown certainly affects Asia more than Western developed economies.
Citation
Dinda, Soumyananda. 2017. Impact of the People's Republic of Chin's Slowdown on the Global Economy. © Asian Development Bank Institute. http://hdl.handle.net/11540/7509.Keywords
Social condition
Economic dependence
Economic assistance
International monetary relations
International monetary relations
International trade
National accounting
Market
Project impact
Development projects
Program management
Performance appraisal
Project appraisal
Technology assessment
Macroeconomic
Macroeconomic Analysis
Macroeconomic Framework
Macroeconomic Models
Macroeconomic Performance
Macroeconomic Planning
Macroeconomic Policies
Macroeconomic Reform
Macroeconomic Stabilization
Results-Based Monitoring And Evaluation
Project Evaluation & Review Technique
Project Evaluation
Program Evaluation
Performance Evaluation
Operations Evaluation
Evaluation Methods
Evaluation
Exchange
Comparative economics
Index number
Monetary policy
Value analysis
Adjustment cost
Transaction cost
Conditionality
International relations
Cumulative effects assessment
Grievance procedures
Participatory monitoring and evaluation
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