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Lessons of the Asian Financial Crisis: What Can an Early Warning System Model Tell Us

dc.contributor.authorJuzhong Zhuang
dc.contributor.authorMalcolm Dowling
dc.date.accessioned2016-08-02T14:39:46Z
dc.date.available2016-08-02T14:39:46Z
dc.date.issued2003-06-30
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11540/5417
dc.description.abstractUsing an early warning system model, this paper provides empirical evidence on the causes of the 1997 Asian financial crisis, with a view to shedding light on policy lessons. The model shows that there were warning signals of heightened economic and financial vulnerabilities in each of the five most affected countries prior to the crisis, suggesting that weaknesses in economic and financial fundamentals in these countries played an important role in causing the crisis. The warning signals point to fundamental weaknesses, including real appreciation of domestic currencies, deterioration in current account positions, excessive external borrowing by banks and currency mismatches in their balance sheets, excessive growth of domestic credit, economic slowdown, and burst of asset price bubbles.
dc.languageEnglish
dc.publisherAsian Development Bank
dc.titleLessons of the Asian Financial Crisis: What Can an Early Warning System Model Tell Us
dc.typeJournals
dc.subject.expertUrban Development Finance
dc.subject.expertTrade Finance
dc.subject.expertSmall Business Finance
dc.subject.expertRural Finance
dc.subject.expertRoundtable on International Trade and Finance
dc.subject.expertRegional Development Finance
dc.subject.expertPublic Service Finance
dc.subject.expertPublic Finance
dc.subject.expertProject Finance
dc.subject.expertPrivate Finance
dc.subject.expertNonbank Financing
dc.subject.expertNon-Bank Financial Institutions
dc.subject.expertMunicipal Finance
dc.subject.expertLocal Government Finance
dc.subject.expertLocal Currency Financing
dc.subject.expertLimited Resource Financing
dc.subject.expertInternational Financial Institutions
dc.subject.expertInfrastructure Financing
dc.subject.expertIndustrial Finance
dc.subject.expertGovernment Financial Institutions
dc.subject.expertGovernment Finance
dc.subject.expertFinancing of Infrastructure
dc.subject.expertFinancial Sector Development
dc.subject.expertFinancial Regulation
dc.subject.adbTaxation
dc.subject.adbPublic Accounting
dc.subject.adbNational Budget
dc.subject.adbMunicipal Bonds
dc.subject.adbLocal Government
dc.subject.adbLocal Taxes
dc.subject.adbInternational Monetary Relations
dc.subject.adbInternational Financial Market
dc.subject.adbInternational Banking
dc.subject.adbCentral Banks
dc.subject.adbBusiness Financing
dc.subject.adbCapital Resources
dc.subject.adbBudgetary Policy
dc.subject.adbCapital Needs
dc.subject.adbCorporate Divestiture
dc.subject.adbCapital Instruments
dc.subject.adbPension Funds
dc.subject.adbInsurance Companies
dc.subject.adbBanks
dc.subject.adbPortfolio Management
dc.subject.adbFiscal Administration
dc.subject.adbEconomics of Education
dc.subject.adbDevelopment Banks
dc.subject.naturalUse tax
dc.subject.naturalTaxing power
dc.subject.naturalState of taxation
dc.subject.naturalTax-sales
dc.subject.naturalTax revenue estimating
dc.subject.naturalTax planning
dc.subject.naturalSpendings tax
dc.subject.naturalSpecial assessments
dc.subject.naturalTax administration and procedure
dc.subject.naturalSales tax
dc.subject.naturalReal property and taxation
dc.subject.naturalProgressive taxation
dc.subject.naturalEffect of taxation on land use
dc.subject.naturalEffect of taxation on labor supply
dc.subject.naturalIntergovernmental tax relations
dc.subject.naturalInheritance and transfer tax
dc.subject.naturalEnergy tax
dc.title.volume20
dc.contributor.imprintAsian Development Bank
oar.themeFinance
oar.adminregionAsia and the Pacific Region
oar.countryBangladesh
oar.countryBhutan
oar.countryIndia
oar.countryMaldives
oar.countryNepal
oar.countrySri Lanka
oar.countryBrunei Darussalam
oar.countryCambodia
oar.countryIndonesia
oar.countryLao People's Democratic
oar.countryMalaysia
oar.countryMyanmar
oar.countryPhilippines
oar.countrySingapore
oar.countryThailand
oar.countryViet Nam
oar.countryCook Islands
oar.countryFiji Islands
oar.countryKiribati
oar.countryMarshall Islands
oar.countryFederated States of Micronesia
oar.countryNauru
oar.countryPalau
oar.countryPapua New Guinea
oar.countrySamoa
oar.countrySolomon Islands
oar.countryTimor-Leste
oar.countryTonga
oar.countryTuvalu
oar.countryVanuatu
oar.countryAfghanistan
oar.countryArmenia
oar.countryAzerbaijan
oar.countryGeorgia
oar.countryKazakhstan
oar.countryKyrgyz Republic
oar.countryPakistan
oar.countryTajikistan
oar.countryTurkmenistan
oar.countryUzbekistan
oar.countryPeople's Republic of China
oar.countryHong Kong
oar.countryChina
oar.countryRepublic of Korea
oar.countryMongolia
oar.countryTaipei,China
oar.identifierOAR-005098
oar.authorZhuang, Juzhong
oar.authorDowling, Malcolm
oar.importTRUE
oar.googlescholar.linkpresenttrue


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  • Asian Development Review
    The Asian Development Review (ADR) is a professional journal for disseminating the results of economic and development research relevant to Asia and the Pacific. Since 1983, the ADR has been an important part of the history of the Asian Development Bank and its mission to reduce poverty across Asia and the Pacific.

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