Is Pakistan's Growth Rate Balance-of-Payments Constrained?Policies and Implications for Development and Growth
Felipe, Jesus | November 2010
Abstract
This paper examines the extent to which Pakistan's growth has been, or is likely to be, constrained by its balance of payments. Evidence presented suggests that Pakistan's maximum growth rate consistent with equilibrium on the basic balance is approximately 5% per annum. This is below the long-term target GDP growth rate of 7–8% per annum. This balance-of-payments constrained growth approach provides some important implications for Pakistan's development policy. Real exchange rate depreciations will not lead to an improvement in the current account. Pakistan must lift the constraints that impede higher growth in exports. In particular, it must shift its export structure towards more sophisticated products with a higher income elasticity of demand.
Citation
Felipe, Jesus. 2010. Is Pakistan's Growth Rate Balance-of-Payments Constrained?Policies and Implications for Development and Growth. © Taylor and Francis. http://hdl.handle.net/11540/4242.Keywords
Development Planning
Development Research
Technology Development
Aid And Development
Asian Development Bank
Comprehensive Development Framework
Development Cooperation
Development Management
Development Planning
Development Strategies
Development strategy
Development models
Economic development
New technology
Rural planning
Aid coordination
Industrial projects
Infrastructure projects
Natural resources policy
Educational development
Absorptive capacity
Rural planning
Regional development bank
Project finance
Strategic planning
Infrastructure projects
Government programs
Public finance
Public enterprises
Development
Economics
Development In East Asia
Development Planning
Development Research
Technology Development
Aid And Development
Asian Development Bank
Comprehensive Development Framework
Development Cooperation
Development Management
Development Planning
Development Strategies Development strategy
Development models
Economic development
New technology
Rural planning
Aid coordination
Industrial projects
Infrastructure projects
Natural resources policy
Educational development
Absorptive capacity
Economic development projects
Economic forecasting
Economic development projects
Municipal government
Technology transfer
Exchanges of patents and technical information
Technical education
Technology
Communication in rural development
Communication in community development
Economic development projects
Development banks
Economic forecasting
Environmental auditing
Cumulative effects assessment
Human rights and globalization
Transfer Technocracy
Absorptive capacity
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http://hdl.handle.net/11540/4242Metadata
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