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Dynamic Shift to a Basket-Peg or Floating Regime in East Asian Countries in Response to the People's Republic of China's Transition to a New Exchange Rate Regime

dc.contributor.authorNaoyuki Yoshino
dc.contributor.authorSahoko Kaji
dc.contributor.authorTamon Asonuma
dc.date.accessioned2015-04-10T10:17:34Z
dc.date.available2015-04-10T10:17:34Z
dc.date.issued2015-02-15
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11540/3982
dc.description.abstractThis paper analyzes a desirable transition path for East Asian countries given the People’s Republic of China’s (PRC’s) transition to a new exchange rate regime. It attempts to answer two main questions: (i) Would these countries be better off shifting to either a basket peg or a floating regime following the PRC’s transition to a basket peg regime? (ii) How and when should these countries shift to the desired regime? The paper captures the influence of the PRC’s predetermined shift in its exchange rate regime on East Asian countries’ decisions regarding their optimal transition policies based on a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model of a small open economy. Our calibration exercise using Malaysian and Singapore data from the first quarter (Q1) of 2000 to Q4 2012 reveals that a gradual adjustment to a basket peg is the most desirable policy for both countries. A sudden shift to a basket peg is superior to maintaining a dollar peg in Malaysia, but not in Singapore. Finally, a sudden shift to a floating regime is even worse than maintaining a dollar peg in both countries.
dc.languageEnglish
dc.publisherAsian Development Bank
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.titleDynamic Shift to a Basket-Peg or Floating Regime in East Asian Countries in Response to the People's Republic of China's Transition to a New Exchange Rate Regime
dc.typeWorking Papers
dc.subject.expertDevelopment Economics
dc.subject.expertRegional Economic Development
dc.subject.expertEconomic Impact
dc.subject.expertAsian Development Bank
dc.subject.expertDevelopment
dc.subject.expertEconomic Boom
dc.subject.expertRegional Economic Integration
dc.subject.expertGood Governance
dc.subject.expertGovernance Approach
dc.subject.adbEconomic planning
dc.subject.adbEconomic structure
dc.subject.adbGrowth policy
dc.subject.adbTrade relations
dc.subject.adbTrade policy
dc.subject.adbTrade policy
dc.subject.adbEconomic development
dc.subject.adbEconomies in transition
dc.subject.adbInternational economy
dc.subject.adbBorder integration
dc.subject.adbEconomic integration
dc.subject.adbGross domestic product
dc.subject.adbTrade policy
dc.subject.adbInstitutional Framework
dc.subject.adbPublic Administration
dc.subject.adbBusiness Ethics
dc.subject.naturalRegional economics
dc.subject.naturalEconomic forecasting
dc.subject.naturalEconomic development projects
dc.subject.naturalSuccess in business
dc.subject.naturalBusiness
dc.subject.naturalFree trade
dc.subject.naturalBusiness
dc.subject.naturalEconomics
dc.subject.naturalCommunication in economic development
dc.subject.naturalRestraint of trade
dc.subject.naturalInternational economic integration
dc.subject.naturalTrade blocs
dc.subject.naturalEast-West trade
dc.title.seriesADBI Working Paper Series
dc.title.volume514
dc.contributor.imprintAsian Development Bank
oar.themeEconomics
oar.themeGovernance
oar.adminregionEast Asia Region
oar.countryPeople's Republic of China
oar.countryHong Kong
oar.countryChina
oar.countryRepublic of Korea
oar.countryMongolia
oar.countryTaipei,China
oar.identifierOAR-003970
oar.authorYoshino, Naoyuki
oar.authorKaji, Sahoko
oar.authorAsonuma, Tamon
oar.importtrue
oar.googlescholar.linkpresenttrue


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  • ADBI Working Papers
    The Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI) Working Paper series is a continuation of the formerly named Discussion Paper series which began in January 2003. The numbering of the papers continued without interruption or change. ADBI was established in 1997 in Tokyo, Japan, to help build capacity, skills, and knowledge related to poverty reduction and other areas that support long-term growth and competitiveness in developing economies in Asia and the Pacific.

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