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The Global Economic Recession and Industrial Structure: Evidence from Four Asian Dragons

dc.contributor.authorWen-jen Hsieh
dc.date.accessioned2015-04-10T10:17:17Z
dc.date.available2015-04-10T10:17:17Z
dc.date.issued2011-10-15
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11540/3903
dc.description.abstractThe collapse of exports that has attended the current global economic recession threatens the export-led economic growth of the four Asian dragons. To better understand the economic performances and future prospects of the four dragons, this paper first examines the economic structural changes that have taken place in Hong Kong, China; the Republic of Korea; Singapore; and Taipei,China, as well as the gradual shifting of the sources of economic growth away from the manufacturing sector and toward the service sector. Following this, a panel data set for the four dragons for the period 1995–2008 is constructed and a fixed-effects model applied to the data. The estimated coefficients deriving from the application of the model indicate that growth in the service sector, exports, and gross fixed capital formation each have a positive and statistically significant impact on economic growth. While the estimated coefficient is not significant, there is also a hint of a positive causal relationship between manufacturing sector growth rates and GDP. The empirical results confirm the shifts observed in industrial structures and the contribution of the service sector to economic growth. New service development (NSD), which integrates manufacturing output with high value-added services, is anticipated to be a new engine for economic growth and deserves more attention, especially in the realm of government policymaking within the four Asian dragons.
dc.languageEnglish
dc.publisherAsian Development Bank
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.titleThe Global Economic Recession and Industrial Structure: Evidence from Four Asian Dragons
dc.typeWorking Papers
dc.subject.expertFinancial Stability
dc.subject.expertFinancial Management System
dc.subject.expertFinancial Restructuring
dc.subject.expertCapital Market Development
dc.subject.expertErosion
dc.subject.expertMarket Development
dc.subject.expertEconomics
dc.subject.expertErosion
dc.subject.expertInternational Economics
dc.subject.adbInternational Financial Market
dc.subject.adbMultilateral Financial Institutions
dc.subject.adbEconomic Recession
dc.subject.adbMarket
dc.subject.adbCrisis
dc.subject.naturalBusiness recessions
dc.subject.naturalMultilateral development banks
dc.subject.naturalRegulatory reform
dc.subject.naturalCapital
dc.title.seriesADBI Working Paper Series
dc.title.volume315
dc.contributor.imprintAsian Development Bank
oar.themeFinance
oar.themeEconomics
oar.adminregionEast Asia Region
oar.countryPeople's Republic of China
oar.countryHong Kong
oar.countryChina
oar.countryRepublic of Korea
oar.countryMongolia
oar.countryTaipei,China
oar.identifierOAR-004072
oar.authorHsieh, Wen-jen
oar.importtrue
oar.googlescholar.linkpresenttrue


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  • ADBI Working Papers
    The Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI) Working Paper series is a continuation of the formerly named Discussion Paper series which began in January 2003. The numbering of the papers continued without interruption or change. ADBI was established in 1997 in Tokyo, Japan, to help build capacity, skills, and knowledge related to poverty reduction and other areas that support long-term growth and competitiveness in developing economies in Asia and the Pacific.

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