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Trans-Pacific Economic Relations and US-China Business Cycles: Convergence within Asia versus US Economic Leadership

dc.contributor.authorAndrew Hughes Hallett
dc.contributor.authorChristian Richter
dc.date.accessioned2015-04-10T10:17:12Z
dc.date.available2015-04-10T10:17:12Z
dc.date.issued2011-06-15
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11540/3880
dc.description.abstractThis paper tests the hypothesis that the links and leadership/dependency relationships between the People’s Republic of China (PRC), the United States (US), and the other large Asian economies have changed over the past 20 years with the industrialization of the PRC economy. We use time-varying spectral methods to decompose the links between seven advanced Asian economies and the US. We find: (a) the links with the US have been weakening, while those within a bloc based on the PRC have strengthened; (b) that this is not new—it has been happening since the 1980s, but has been partly reversed by the recent surge in trade; (c) that there are two blocs within the Asian economic area: one based on Japan and the Republic of Korea and the other on the PRC and her satellites; (d) that product composition is responsible for this division (and for some movement between the blocs); and (e) that the links between the PRC and the US are rather complex, with the US able to shape the cycles elsewhere through her control of monetary conditions, but the PRC able to control the size of the cycles at home and (to some extent) abroad.
dc.languageEnglish
dc.publisherAsian Development Bank
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.titleTrans-Pacific Economic Relations and US-China Business Cycles: Convergence within Asia versus US Economic Leadership
dc.typeWorking Papers
dc.subject.expertMacroeconomic
dc.subject.expertMacroeconomic Analysis
dc.subject.expertMacroeconomic Framework
dc.subject.expertMacroeconomic Models
dc.subject.expertMacroeconomic Performance
dc.subject.expertMacroeconomic Planning
dc.subject.expertMacroeconomic Policies
dc.subject.expertMacroeconomic Reform
dc.subject.expertMacroeconomic Stabilization
dc.subject.adbSocial condition
dc.subject.adbEconomic dependence
dc.subject.adbEconomic assistance
dc.subject.adbInternational monetary relations
dc.subject.adbInternational monetary relations
dc.subject.adbInternational trade
dc.subject.adbNational accounting
dc.subject.adbMarket
dc.subject.naturalExchange
dc.subject.naturalComparative economics
dc.subject.naturalIndex number
dc.subject.naturalMonetary policy
dc.subject.naturalValue analysis
dc.subject.naturalAdjustment cost
dc.subject.naturalTransaction cost
dc.subject.naturalConditionality
dc.subject.naturalInternational relations
dc.title.seriesADBI Working Paper Series
dc.title.volume292
dc.contributor.imprintAsian Development Bank
oar.themeEconomics
oar.adminregionAsia and the Pacific Region
oar.countryBangladesh
oar.countryBhutan
oar.countryIndia
oar.countryMaldives
oar.countryNepal
oar.countrySri Lanka
oar.countryBrunei Darussalam
oar.countryCambodia
oar.countryIndonesia
oar.countryLao People's Democratic
oar.countryMalaysia
oar.countryMyanmar
oar.countryPhilippines
oar.countrySingapore
oar.countryThailand
oar.countryViet Nam
oar.countryCook Islands
oar.countryFiji Islands
oar.countryKiribati
oar.countryMarshall Islands
oar.countryFederated States of Micronesia
oar.countryNauru
oar.countryPalau
oar.countryPapua New Guinea
oar.countrySamoa
oar.countrySolomon Islands
oar.countryTimor-Leste
oar.countryTonga
oar.countryTuvalu
oar.countryVanuatu
oar.countryAfghanistan
oar.countryArmenia
oar.countryAzerbaijan
oar.countryGeorgia
oar.countryKazakhstan
oar.countryKyrgyz Republic
oar.countryPakistan
oar.countryTajikistan
oar.countryTurkmenistan
oar.countryUzbekistan
oar.countryPeople's Republic of China
oar.countryHong Kong
oar.countryChina
oar.countryRepublic of Korea
oar.countryMongolia
oar.countryTaipei,China
oar.identifierOAR-004095
oar.authorHallett, Andrew Hughes
oar.authorRichter, Christian
oar.importtrue
oar.googlescholar.linkpresenttrue


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    The Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI) Working Paper series is a continuation of the formerly named Discussion Paper series which began in January 2003. The numbering of the papers continued without interruption or change. ADBI was established in 1997 in Tokyo, Japan, to help build capacity, skills, and knowledge related to poverty reduction and other areas that support long-term growth and competitiveness in developing economies in Asia and the Pacific.

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