How Would an Appreciation of the Yuan Affect the People's Republic of China's Surplus in Processing Trade?
Thorbecke, Willem | June 2010
Abstract
Enormous trade surpluses are problematic for the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and the rest of the world. They primarily stem from processing trade. This paper investigates how exchange rate changes would affect the PRC’s imports for processing and processed exports. The results indicate that an appreciation throughout East Asian supply chain countries would reduce the PRC’s surplus in processing trade, while an appreciation of the yuan alone might not. Even for an appreciation throughout East Asia, however, the sum of the exchange rate elasticities is not large. Thus, to rebalance the PRC’s trade, exchange rate appreciations must be accompanied by other changes such as factor market liberalization and greater enforcement of environmental regulations.
Citation
Thorbecke, Willem. 2010. How Would an Appreciation of the Yuan Affect the People's Republic of China's Surplus in Processing Trade?. © Asian Development Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/11540/3807. License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.Keywords
Trade Finance
Rural Finance
Regional Development Finance
Public Financial Management
Public Finance
International Finance
Intergovernmental Finance
Financial System
Financial Flows
Financial Assets
Finance And Trade
Trade Finance
Local Finance
International Monetary Relations
Local Finance
Banks
Capital Market
financial statistics
Foreign trade
Municipal government
Metropolitan government
International banks and banking
Capital movements
Central banks and banking
Bills of exchange
Swaps
Banks and banking
Stock exchanges
Market
Exchange
Balance of trade
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