Myanmar's Trade and its Potential
Ferrarini, Benno | January 2013
Abstract
The paper tabulates Myanmar’s merchandise trade as reported by its partner countries, thereby circumventing the data constraints stemming from Myanmar’s patchy trade records. It then estimates Myanmar’s export potential, based on the bilateral export patterns observed for six other countries in Southeast Asia. Against that benchmark and controlling for outliers, Myanmar is found to be trading at about 15% its potential. The bulk of this gap is explained by very low trade with the industrialized countries. Through reintegration with the world economy accompanied by deep economic reforms domestically, Myanmar would be expected to be closing this gap rather swiftly.
Citation
Ferrarini, Benno. 2013. Myanmar's Trade and its Potential. © Asian Development Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/11540/2084. License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.ISSN
1655-5252
Keywords
Project Evaluation & Review Technique
Operations Evaluation
Evaluation
World Trade
Trade Volume
Trade Promotion
Trade Flows
Trade Development
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Citable URI
http://hdl.handle.net/11540/2084Metadata
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