Climate Change and Agricultural Interregional Trade Flows in the People’s Republic of China
Lin, Tun; Liu, Xiaoyun; Wan, Guanghua; Xin, Xian; Zhang, Yongsheng | January 2011
Abstract
The impacts of climate change on agricultural production in the People’s Republic of China (PRC) are significant, and differ across regions and crops. The substantial regional differences will induce changes in the agricultural interregional trade pattern. In this paper, we investigate the climate change impacts on this trade pattern, using a computable general equilibrium model of multiple regions and multiple sectors. The results indicate that Northwest, South, Central, and Northeast PRC will see increases in the outflows of agricultural products in 2030 and 2050. Conversely, outflows from East, North, and Southwest PRC will decrease. Grain handling and transportation facilities need to be repositioned to address the changes in agricultural trade flows.
Citation
Lin, Tun; Liu, Xiaoyun; Wan, Guanghua; Xin, Xian; Zhang, Yongsheng. 2011. Climate Change and Agricultural Interregional Trade Flows in the People’s Republic of China. © Asian Development Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/11540/2050. License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.ISSN
1655-5252
Keywords
Agriculture
Agricultural Trade
Trade
Trade Barriers
Trade Facilitation
Sustainable agriculture
Commercial agriculture
Trade Negotiations
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Citable URI
http://hdl.handle.net/11540/2050Metadata
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