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    Asia's Changing Role in World Trade: Prospects for South-South Trade Growth to 2030

    Anderson, Kym; Strutt, Anna | July 2011
    Abstract
    "Kym Anderson and Anna Strutt project the world economy to 2030 to demonstrate the extent to which developing Asia’s rapid economic growth is likely to further shift the global industrial center of gravity away from the North Atlantic to Asia, increase the importance of Asia in world trade, and boost South–South trade. In their core scenario, they project the share of South–South trade in global trade to double, from 13% to 26%—or to 29% if gross domestic product and capital growth in the North were to be one-sixth slower than in the core projection (or if ASEAN+6 opened up, or if all goods trade were to be freed globally). The South’s share of world exports rises from 33% in 2004 to 55% in 2030 in their core projection, and to even more if slower growth in the North is assumed, or if global trade is liberalized."
    Citation
    Anderson, Kym; Strutt, Anna. 2011. Asia's Changing Role in World Trade: Prospects for South-South Trade Growth to 2030. © Asian Development Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/11540/2019. License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.
    ISSN
    1655-5252
    Keywords
    Free Trade
    Trade
    Trade Agreements
    Regional Economic Integration
    Exports
    Economic integration
    Exports
    Economic integration
    Distribution
    Economic integration
    Development Bank
    Trade policy
    Trade policy
    Euro
    Inflation
    Business
    Finance
    Free trade
    Show allCollapse
    Citable URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/11540/2019
    Metadata
    Show full item record
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    PDF (1.087Mb)
    Author
    Anderson, Kym
    Strutt, Anna
    Theme
    Trade
    Regional

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    Copyright 2016-2021 Asian Development Bank Institute, except as explicitly marked otherwise