Trade Intensity and Business Cycle Synchronization: The Case of East Asia
Rana, Pradumna B. | June 2007
Abstract
This paper examines whether increasing trade intensity among East Asian countries has led to a synchronization of business cycles. It extends the work of Shin and Wang (2004) in two ways: by (i) improving the specification of their business cycle correlation equation, and (ii) extending the sample to cover the period after the Asian financial crisis. The study finds that intra-industry trade, rather than inter-industry trade, is the major factor explaining business cycle co-movements in East Asia, with important implications for the prospects for a single currency in the region.
Citation
Rana, Pradumna B.. 2007. Trade Intensity and Business Cycle Synchronization: The Case of East Asia. © Asian Development Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/11540/1854. License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.Keywords
Financial Stability
Financial Management System
Financial Restructuring
Capital Market Development
Erosion
Market Development
Economics
Erosion
International Economics
International Financial Market
Multilateral Financial Institutions
Economic Recession
Market
Crisis
Business recessions
Multilateral development banks
Regulatory reform
Capital
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Citable URI
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