A General Equilibrium Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture in the People’s Republic of China. Asian Development Review, Vol. 26(1), pp. 206-225
Zhai, Fan; Lin, Tun; Byambadorj, Enerelt | March 2009
Abstract
This paper examines the potential long-term impacts of global climate change
on agricultural production and trade in the People’s Republic of China (PRC).
Using an economy-wide, global computable general equilibrium model, this
paper simulates the scenarios of global agricultural productivity change
induced by climate change up to 2080. The results suggest that with the
anticipated decline in agriculture share of gross domestic product, the impact
of climate change on the PRC’s macro economy will be moderate. The food
processing subsectors are predicted to bear the brunt of losses from the
agricultural productivity changes caused by climate change. Production of
some crop sectors (such as wheat), in contrast, is likely to expand due to
increased demand from other regions of the world.
Citation
Zhai, Fan; Lin, Tun; Byambadorj, Enerelt. 2009. A General Equilibrium Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture in the People’s Republic of China. Asian Development Review, Vol. 26(1), pp. 206-225. © Asian Development Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/11540/1680. License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.Citable URI
http://hdl.handle.net/11540/1680Metadata
Show full item record
Users also downloaded
-
Myanmar's Cross-Border Economic Relations and Cooperation with the People's Republic of China and Thailand in the Greater Mekong Subregion, Journal of GMS Development Studies, Vol. 2, pp. 37-54
(Asian Development Bank, 2005-10-01)In 1992, the Asian Development Bank initiated an economic cooperation program in the Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS) among the six riparian countries: Cambodia, Yunnan Province of the People’s Republic of China, the Lao People’s Democratic Republic, ... -
Annual Report 2014: Operational Data
(Asian Development Bank, 2015-01-01)The page has additional information for the ADB Annual Report 2014. In 2014, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) approved $22.93 billion in development assistance, including $13.69 billion financed by ADB’s ordinary capital resources and special funds, ... -
Inequality and the Imperative for Inclusive Growth in Asia. Asian Development Review, Vol. 24(2), pp. 1-16
(Asian Development Bank, 2007-08-29)Developing Asia’s rapid growth rates that have contributed to a remarkable decline in the incidence of poverty have also been accompanied by rising income and expenditure inequalities and persistence of high levels of nonincome inequalities. These ...
Related items
-
How Much Has People Empowerment Progressed among Small Farmers and Fisherfolk? State of People’s Organizations in the Philippines
(Philippine Institute for Development Studies, 2022-02-28)This is an attempt to quantify government’s performance in empowering small farmers and fishers following the provisions of AFMA. It establishes four dimensions of empowerment that may be used to measure empowerment and presents some evidence of how ... -
The Impact of ACFTA on People’s Republic of China–ASEAN Trade: Estimates Based on an Extended Gravity Model for Component Trade
(Asian Development Bank, 2012-07-01)This paper uses an extended gravity model to shed light on the impact of the free trade area agreement between the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) on the members‘ trade flows and trade patterns. ... -
The Rise of the “Redback” and the People’s Republic of China’s Capital Account Liberalization: An Empirical Analysis of the Determinants of Invoicing Currencies
(Asian Development Bank Institute, 2014-04-07)We investigate the determinants of currency choice for trade invoicing in a cross-country context while focusing on the link between capital account liberalization and its impact on the use of the renminbi (RMB). We find that while countries with more ...