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Financial Market and Capital Flow Dynamics During the Covid-19 Pandemic

dc.contributor.authorJohn Beirne
dc.contributor.authorNuobu Renzhi
dc.contributor.authorEric Sugandi
dc.contributor.authorUlrich Volz
dc.date.accessioned2020-08-17T02:15:58Z
dc.date.available2020-08-17T02:15:58Z
dc.date.issued2020-06-30
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11540/12222
dc.description.abstractThis paper empirically examines the reaction of global financial markets across 38 economies to the COVID-19 outbreak, with a special focus on the dynamics of capital flow across 14 emerging market economies. Using daily data over the period 4 January 2010 to 30 April 2020 and controlling for a host of domestic and global macroeconomic and financial factors, we use a fixed effects panel approach and a structural VAR framework to show that emerging markets have been more heavily affected than advanced economies. In particular, emerging economies in Asia and Europe have experienced the sharpest impact on stocks, bonds, and exchange rates due to COVID-19, as well as abrupt and substantial capital outflows. Our results indicate that fiscal stimulus packages introduced in response to COVID-19, as well as quantitative easing by central banks, have helped to restore overall investor confidence through reducing bond yields and boosting stock prices. Our findings also highlight the role that global factors and developments in the world’s leading financial centers have on financial conditions in EMEs. Importantly, the impact of COVID-19 related quantitative easing measures by central banks in advanced countries, which helped to lower sovereign bond yields and prop up stock markets at home, extended to EMEs, notably in relation to stabilizing capital flow dynamics. Going forward, while the ultimate resolution of COVID-19 may be expected to lead to a market correction as uncertainty declines, our impulse response analysis suggests that there may be some permanent effects on financial markets and capital flows as a result of COVID-19, particularly in EMEs.
dc.languageEnglish
dc.publisherAsian Development Bank Institute
dc.titleFinancial Market and Capital Flow Dynamics During the Covid-19 Pandemic
dc.typeWorking Papers
dc.subject.expertRegional Development Finance
dc.subject.expertPublic Scrutiny of City Finances
dc.subject.expertNon-Bank Financial Institutions
dc.subject.expertLocal Government Finance
dc.subject.expertGovernment Financial Institutions
dc.subject.expertForeign and Domestic Financing
dc.subject.expertFinancial Risk Management
dc.subject.expertAssessing Corporate Governance
dc.subject.expertGood Governance
dc.subject.expertGovernance Approach
dc.subject.expertFinance
dc.subject.expertPublic Finance
dc.subject.expertGovernance
dc.subject.expertNational Budget
dc.subject.expertBudgetary Policy
dc.subject.expertEducational Budget
dc.subject.expertPublic Financial Management
dc.subject.expertFinancial System
dc.subject.expertFinancial Statistics
dc.subject.adbBusiness Financing
dc.subject.adbSubsidies
dc.subject.adbSocial Equity
dc.subject.adbEconomic Equity
dc.subject.adbProject Risks
dc.subject.adbProject Impact
dc.subject.adbPublic Administration
dc.subject.adbCorporations
dc.subject.adbTaxation
dc.subject.adbPublic Debt
dc.subject.adbLocal Government
dc.subject.adbDebt Management
dc.subject.adbCorporate debt
dc.subject.adbTaxation
dc.subject.adbPublic Accounting
dc.subject.adbNational Budget
dc.subject.adbMunicipal Bonds
dc.subject.adbLocal Government
dc.subject.adbTaxation
dc.subject.adbPublic Debt
dc.subject.adbLocal Government
dc.subject.adbDebt Management
dc.subject.adbPension Funds
dc.subject.adbMutual Funds
dc.subject.adbSocial Equity
dc.subject.adbFinancial Aspects
dc.subject.adbFiscal Policy
dc.subject.naturalFinancial crisis
dc.subject.naturalLabor economics
dc.subject.naturalRegional economics
dc.subject.naturalBusiness recessions
dc.subject.naturalMultilateral development banks
dc.subject.naturalRegulatory reform
dc.subject.naturalCapital
dc.subject.naturalExports
dc.subject.naturalEconomic development projects
dc.subject.naturalEconomic policy
dc.subject.naturalEconomic forecasting
dc.subject.naturalInvestment Requirements
dc.subject.naturalBanks
dc.subject.naturalInternational banks and banking
dc.subject.naturalCapital movements
dc.subject.naturalCentral banks and banking
dc.subject.naturalBills of exchange
dc.subject.naturalSwaps
dc.subject.naturalBanks and banking
dc.subject.naturalFinancial crisis
dc.subject.naturalCredit control
dc.subject.naturalCredit allocation
dc.subject.naturalCapital market
dc.subject.naturalInternational liquidity
dc.subject.naturalLiquidity
dc.subject.naturalExchange rate
dc.subject.naturalInvestment Requirements
dc.subject.naturalBanks
dc.subject.natural|Taxing power
dc.subject.naturalTax administration and procedure
dc.subject.naturalTax policy
dc.subject.naturalEffect of taxation on labor supply
dc.subject.naturalDecentralization in government
dc.subject.naturalCommunity power
dc.subject.naturalCorporate divestment
dc.subject.naturalCivil government
dc.subject.naturalDelegation of powers
dc.subject.naturalEquality
dc.subject.naturalNeighborhood government
dc.subject.naturalSubnational governments
dc.subject.naturalDelivery of government services
dc.subject.naturalLocal taxation
dc.subject.naturalOptions
dc.subject.naturalGovernment
dc.subject.naturalLocal government
dc.subject.naturalTaxation
dc.subject.naturalEmployee pension trusts
dc.subject.naturalInvestment management
dc.subject.naturalInvestments
dc.subject.naturalMultiemployer pension plans
dc.subject.naturalKeogh plans
dc.subject.naturalIndividual retirement accounts
dc.subject.naturalPension plans
dc.subject.naturalEmployee pension trusts
dc.subject.naturalPension trusts
dc.title.seriesADBI Working Papers
dc.title.volumeNo. 1158
dc.contributor.imprintAsian Development Bank Institute
oar.themeFinance
oar.themeGovernance
oar.adminregionAsia and the Pacific Region
oar.countryBangladesh
oar.countryBhutan
oar.countryIndia
oar.countryMaldives
oar.countryNepal
oar.countrySri Lanka
oar.countryBrunei Darussalam
oar.countryCambodia
oar.countryIndonesia
oar.countryLao People's Democratic
oar.countryMalaysia
oar.countryMyanmar
oar.countryPhilippines
oar.countrySingapore
oar.countryThailand
oar.countryViet Nam
oar.countryCook Islands
oar.countryFiji Islands
oar.countryKiribati
oar.countryMarshall Islands
oar.countryFederated States of Micronesia
oar.countryNauru
oar.countryPalau
oar.countryPapua New Guinea
oar.countrySamoa
oar.countrySolomon Islands
oar.countryTimor-Leste
oar.countryTonga
oar.countryTuvalu
oar.countryVanuatu
oar.countryAfghanistan
oar.countryArmenia
oar.countryAzerbaijan
oar.countryGeorgia
oar.countryKazakhstan
oar.countryKyrgyz Republic
oar.countryPakistan
oar.countryTajikistan
oar.countryTurkmenistan
oar.countryUzbekistan
oar.countryPeople's Republic of China
oar.countryHong Kong
oar.countryChina
oar.countryRepublic of Korea
oar.countryMongolia
oar.countryTaipei,China
oar.identifierOAR-011586
oar.authorBeirne, John
oar.authorRenzhi, Nuobu
oar.authorSugandi, Eric
oar.authorVolz, Ulrich
oar.importTRUE
oar.googlescholar.linkpresenttrue


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    The Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI) Working Paper series is a continuation of the formerly named Discussion Paper series which began in January 2003. The numbering of the papers continued without interruption or change. ADBI was established in 1997 in Tokyo, Japan, to help build capacity, skills, and knowledge related to poverty reduction and other areas that support long-term growth and competitiveness in developing economies in Asia and the Pacific.

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