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    Climate, Urbanization, and Conflict: The Effects of Weather Shocks and Floods on Urban Social Disorder

    Castells-Quintana, David; McDermott, Thomas K.J. | July 2019
    Abstract
    In this paper, we test the effect of weather shocks and floods on urban social disorder for a panel of large cities in developing countries. We focus on a particular mechanism, namely the displacement of population into (large) cities. We test this hypothesis using a novel dataset on floods—distinguishing those that affected large cities directly from those that occurred outside of our sample of large cities. Floods are found to be associated with faster growth of the population in the city, and in turn with a higher likelihood (and frequency) of urban social disorder events. Our evidence suggests that the effects of floods on urban social disorder occur (mainly) through the displacement of population, and the “push” of people into large cities. Our findings have important implications for evaluating future climate change, as well as for policies regarding adaptation to climate change and disaster resilience.
    Citation
    Castells-Quintana, David; McDermott, Thomas K.J.. 2019. Climate, Urbanization, and Conflict: The Effects of Weather Shocks and Floods on Urban Social Disorder. © Asian Development Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/11540/10965. License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.
    ISSN
    2313-6537 (print)
    2313-6545 (electronic)
    Keywords
    Climate
    Climate change
    Climate impacts assessment
    Global climate change
    Rural Development
    Rural Development Projects
    Rural Development Research
    Aid And Development
    Asian Development Bank
    Comprehensive Development Framework
    Development Cooperation
    Development Management
    Development Planning
    Development Strategies
    Climatic change
    Climatic influence
    Climatology
    Investment bank
    Investment policy
    Rural areas
    Rural economy
    Rural planning
    Rural poverty
    Development potential
    Rural planning
    Aid coordination
    Industrial projects
    Infrastructure projects
    Natural resources policy
    Educational development
    Climatic factor
    Soils and climate
    Dynamic climatology
    Climate change mitigation
    Communication in rural development
    Rural enterprise zones
    Rural manpower policy
    Environment impact analysis
    City planning
    Urban climatology
    Bank investment
    Capital investment
    Investment banking
    Venture capital
    Communication in rural development
    Communication in community development
    Economic development projects
    Development banks
    Economic forecasting
    Environmental auditing
    Cumulative effects assessment
    Human rights and globalization
    Show allCollapse
    Citable URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/11540/10965
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    Thumbnail
    ewp-588-weather-shocks-floods-social-disorder.pdf (363.6Kb)
    Author
    Castells-Quintana, David
    McDermott, Thomas K.J.
    Theme
    Climate
    Development

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    Copyright 2016-2021 Asian Development Bank Institute, except as explicitly marked otherwise