Climate, Urbanization, and Conflict: The Effects of Weather Shocks and Floods on Urban Social Disorder
Castells-Quintana, David; McDermott, Thomas K.J. | July 2019
Abstract
In this paper, we test the effect of weather shocks and floods on urban social disorder for a panel of large cities in developing countries. We focus on a particular mechanism, namely the displacement of population into (large) cities. We test this hypothesis using a novel dataset on floods—distinguishing those that affected large cities directly from those that occurred outside of our sample of large cities. Floods are found to be associated with faster growth of the population in the city, and in turn with a higher likelihood (and frequency) of urban social disorder events. Our evidence suggests that the effects of floods on urban social disorder occur (mainly) through the displacement of population, and the “push” of people into large cities. Our findings have important implications for evaluating future climate change, as well as for policies regarding adaptation to climate change and disaster resilience.
Citation
Castells-Quintana, David; McDermott, Thomas K.J.. 2019. Climate, Urbanization, and Conflict: The Effects of Weather Shocks and Floods on Urban Social Disorder. © Asian Development Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/11540/10965. License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.ISSN
2313-6537 (print)
2313-6545 (electronic)
Keywords
Climate
Climate change
Climate impacts assessment
Global climate change
Rural Development
Rural Development Projects
Rural Development Research
Aid And Development
Asian Development Bank
Comprehensive Development Framework
Development Cooperation
Development Management
Development Planning
Development Strategies
Climatic change
Climatic influence
Climatology
Investment bank
Investment policy
Rural areas
Rural economy
Rural planning
Rural poverty
Development potential
Rural planning
Aid coordination
Industrial projects
Infrastructure projects
Natural resources policy
Educational development
Climatic factor
Soils and climate
Dynamic climatology
Climate change mitigation
Communication in rural development
Rural enterprise zones
Rural manpower policy
Environment impact analysis
City planning
Urban climatology
Bank investment
Capital investment
Investment banking
Venture capital
Communication in rural development
Communication in community development
Economic development projects
Development banks
Economic forecasting
Environmental auditing
Cumulative effects assessment
Human rights and globalization
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Citable URI
http://hdl.handle.net/11540/10965Metadata
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