Browse by Author "Qin, Duo"

  • A Small Macroeconometric Model of the People's Republic of China 

    Qin, Duo; Cagas, Marie Anne; Ducanes, Geoffrey; Magtibay-Ramos, Nedelyn; Quising, Pilipinas; He, Xin-Hua; Liu, Rui; Liu, Shi-Guo (Asian Development Bank, 2006-06-01)
    This paper describes a quarterly macroeconometric model of the economy of People's Republic of China. The model comprises household consumption, investment, government, trade, production, prices, money, and employment blocks. The equilibrium-correction ...
  • A Small Macroeconometric Model of the Philippine Economy 

    Ducanes, Geoffrey; Cagas, Marie Anne; Qin, Duo; Quising, Pilipinas; Magtibay-Ramos, Nedelyn (Asian Development Bank, 2005-01-01)
    This paper describes a small quarterly macroeconometric model of the Philippine economy. The model consists of sectors of private consumption, investment, government, trade, production, prices, money, and labor. The equilibrium-correction form is used ...
  • Aggregate Investment in People’s Republic of China: Some Empirical Evidence 

    He, Xinhua; Qin, Duo (Asian Development Bank, 2004-06-30)
    Capital investment holds a key role in the economic growth and performance of the People’s Republic of China (PRC). During the last two decades, fixed capital formation has taken up roughly one third of gross domestic product (GDP) and kept a double ...
  • Empirical Assessment of Sustainability and Feasibility of Government Debt: The Philippines Case 

    Qin, Duo; Cagas, Marie Anne; Ducanes, Geoffrey; Magtibay-Ramos, Nedelyn; Quising, Pilipinas (Asian Development Bank, 2005-02-01)
    This paper assesses empirically the sustainability and feasibility of the government debt in the Philippines using the No Ponzi Game criterion. Both historical data and forecasts generated by a quarterly macroeconometric model of the Philippines are ...
  • Excess Investment and Efficiency Loss During Reforms: The Case of Provincial-level Fixed-Asset Investment in People's Republic of China 

    Qin, Duo; Song, Haiyan (Asian Development Bank, 2003-10-01)
    A method is proposed to estimate efficiency of aggregate investment in a transitional economy, using provincial panel data from the People’s Republic of China (PRC) as an experimental case. Inefficiency is defined on the basis of disequilibrium ...
  • Forecasting Inflation and GDP Growth: Automatic Leading Indicator (ALI) Method versus Macro Econometric Structural Models (MESMS) 

    Qin, Duo; Cagas, Marie Anne; Ducanes, Geoffrey; Magtibay-Ramos, Nedelyn; Quising, Pilipinas (Asian Development Bank, 2006-07-01)
    This paper compares the forecast performance of the automatic leading indicator (ALI) method with the macro econometric structural model (MESM) and seeks ways of improving the ALI method. Inflation and gross domestic product growth form the forecast ...
  • Forecasting Inflation and GDP Growth: Automatic Leading Indicator (ALI) Method versus Macro Econometric Structural Models (MESMS) 

    Qin, Duo; Cagas, Marie Anne; Ducanes, Geoffrey; Magtibay-Ramos, Nedelyn; Quising, Pilipinas (Asian Development Bank, 2006-07-01)
    This paper compares the forecast performance of the automatic leading indicator (ALI) method with the macro econometric structural model (MESM) and seeks ways of improving the ALI method. Inflation and gross domestic product growth form the forecast ...
  • Income Disparity and Economic Growth: Evidence from People's Republic of China 

    Qin, Duo; Cagas, Marie Anne; Ducanes, Geoffrey; He, Inhua; Liu, Rui; Liu, Shiguo (Asian Development Bank, 2006-10-01)
    This pilot empirical study seeks to ascertain how income inequality affects growth by incorporating panel data information into a macroeconometric model. People’s Republic of China is used as the pilot fi eld. Provincial urban and rural household data ...
  • Is the Rising Services Sector in the People's Republic of China leading to Cost Disease? 

    Qin, Duo (Asian Development Bank, 2004-04-01)
    The focal issue of this investigation is whether the rising services sector would contract cost disease and stagnate economic growth in People’s Republic of China (PRC), as diagnosed generally of tertiarization in Baumol’s unbalanced growth model. Using ...
  • Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policies: Empirical Evidence from Bangladesh, People’s Republic of China, Indonesia, and Philippines 

    Ducanes, Geoffrey; Cagas, Marie Anne; Qin, Duo; Quising, Pilipinas; Razzaque, Mohammad Abdur (Asian Development Bank, 2006-11-15)
    Fiscal expansion in Bangladesh, the People's Republic of China, Indonesia, and the Philippines via increased spending is typically more effective than fiscal expansion via tax rate reduction for stimulating growth. On the other hand, the effectiveness ...
  • Measuring Regional Market Integration in Developing Asia: a Dynamic Factor Error Correction Model (DF-ECM) Approach 

    Qin, Duo; Cagas, Marie Anne; Ducanes, Geoffrey; Magtibay-Ramos, Nedelyn; Quising, Pilipinas F. (Asian Development Bank, 2007-05-15)
    This paper examines empirically the dynamic process of regional market integration in twelve Asian economies using a new modeling approach combining DF with ECM. This approach enables us to obtain latent regional dynamic factors which correspond well ...